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Sprint Capacity Planning

Capacity planning determines how much work a team can realistically complete in a sprint. Good capacity planning leads to achievable commitments and sustainable pace. Poor planning leads to overwork, missed commitments, or underutilization.

Capacity Factors

FactorImpactHow to Account
HolidaysFull daySubtract
PTOFull daySubtract
MeetingsPartialFocus factor
InterruptsPartialFocus factor

Velocity-Based

Historical Approach

VELOCITY-BASED CAPACITY
═══════════════════════

USING VELOCITY:
─────────────────────────────────────
Simplest approach:
├── Look at last 3-5 sprints
├── Average completed points
├── That's your capacity
├── Adjust for known changes
└── Data-driven

Example:
├── Sprint 21: 32 points
├── Sprint 22: 28 points
├── Sprint 23: 35 points
├── Sprint 24: 30 points
├── Average: 31 points
├── Plan for: 31 points
└── Predictable

ADJUSTING FOR CHANGES:
─────────────────────────────────────
If capacity differs:
├── Team member on PTO: -20%
├── Holiday in sprint: -10%
├── New team member: +50% (ramping)
├── Team member leaving: -100% of theirs
├── Calculate adjustment
└── Modified capacity

Example:
├── Normal velocity: 31 points
├── 1 of 5 developers out for week
├── Adjustment: -10% (1 week of 2)
├── Adjusted capacity: 28 points
└── Realistic planning

WHEN VELOCITY UNRELIABLE:
─────────────────────────────────────
Velocity less useful when:
├── New team (no history)
├── Major tech change
├── Team composition changed
├── Process changed significantly
├── Use hour-based instead
└── Rebuild baseline

Hour-Based

Detailed Calculation

HOUR-BASED CAPACITY
═══════════════════

CALCULATION:
─────────────────────────────────────
Formula:
Available Hours = (Developers × Days × Hours) 
                  × Focus Factor

Example:
├── 5 developers
├── 10 working days (2 weeks)
├── 8 hours per day
├── Base: 5 × 10 × 8 = 400 hours
├── Focus factor: 0.7
├── Available: 400 × 0.7 = 280 hours
└── Capacity: 280 hours

FOCUS FACTOR:
─────────────────────────────────────
Time not on sprint work:
├── Daily standup: 15 min
├── Other meetings: 2 hrs/week
├── Email/Slack: 1 hr/day
├── Support/interruptions: 1 hr/day
├── Typical: 60-80% focus
└── Measure your team's actual

ADJUSTMENTS:
─────────────────────────────────────
Per person:
├── Alice: Full sprint (100%)
├── Bob: 3 days PTO (70%)
├── Carol: Full sprint (100%)
├── Dave: 1 day training (90%)
├── Eve: Full sprint (100%)
├── Total: 460% of 1 person
├── Or: 4.6 × 10 × 8 × 0.7 = 258 hrs
└── Adjusted capacity

CONVERT TO POINTS:
─────────────────────────────────────
If needed:
├── Historical: 1 point ≈ 4 hours
├── 258 hours ÷ 4 = 64 points
├── But points already account for overhead
├── Usually use velocity or hours
└── Don't double-convert

Sprint Planning

Using Capacity

CAPACITY IN SPRINT PLANNING
═══════════════════════════

BEFORE PLANNING:
─────────────────────────────────────
Calculate capacity:
├── Check holidays
├── Check PTO
├── Check other commitments
├── Determine available capacity
├── Share with team
└── Know limits

DURING PLANNING:
─────────────────────────────────────
├── Pull items up to capacity
├── Don't exceed capacity
├── Leave buffer (10-15%)
├── Agree as team
├── Commit to achievable
└── Realistic commitment

BUFFER:
─────────────────────────────────────
Why leave buffer:
├── Unexpected issues
├── Harder than estimated
├── Support requests
├── Bug fixes
├── Reality adjustment
└── Sustainable pace

Example:
├── Capacity: 30 points
├── Buffer: 10%
├── Plan for: 27 points
├── If done early: pull more
└── Better than missing

TRACKING:
─────────────────────────────────────
During sprint:
├── Monitor burndown
├── If behind, adjust
├── If ahead, pull more
├── Capacity is guide, not absolute
└── Respond to reality

Handling Changes

Variable Capacity

HANDLING VARIABLE CAPACITY
══════════════════════════

PLANNED ABSENCES:
─────────────────────────────────────
During planning:
├── Collect absence info
├── Calculate adjusted capacity
├── Plan accordingly
├── Communicate to stakeholders
└── Set appropriate expectations

UNPLANNED ABSENCES:
─────────────────────────────────────
During sprint:
├── Acknowledge impact
├── Adjust sprint scope if needed
├── Communicate to stakeholders
├── Don't expect team to make up
└── Protect sustainable pace

NEW TEAM MEMBERS:
─────────────────────────────────────
Onboarding impact:
├── Week 1: 0% capacity (learning)
├── Week 2-4: 25-50% capacity
├── Month 2: 50-75% capacity
├── Month 3+: Full capacity
├── Plus buddy time cost
└── Account in planning

LEAVING TEAM MEMBERS:
─────────────────────────────────────
├── Reduced output in final weeks
├── Knowledge transfer time
├── Don't plan full capacity
├── Plan handoffs explicitly
└── Realistic expectations

GitScrum Features

Capacity Tools

GITSCRUM CAPACITY
═════════════════

SPRINT PLANNING:
─────────────────────────────────────
├── Capacity display
├── Points committed
├── Remaining capacity
├── Visual indicator
└── Clear limits

TEAM AVAILABILITY:
─────────────────────────────────────
├── Mark days off
├── Holiday calendar
├── Automatic calculation
├── Visible to all
└── Shared awareness

VELOCITY TRACKING:
─────────────────────────────────────
├── Historical velocity
├── Average calculation
├── Trend chart
├── Planning guidance
└── Data-driven

BURNDOWN:
─────────────────────────────────────
├── Track progress
├── Compare to plan
├── Early warning
├── Adjust if needed
└── Visual management

Best Practices

For Capacity Planning

  1. Use historical data — Velocity is best predictor
  2. Account for absences — Be explicit
  3. Leave buffer — 10-15% for surprises
  4. Communicate changes — Stakeholders informed
  5. Sustainable pace — Don't overcommit

Anti-Patterns

CAPACITY PLANNING MISTAKES:
✗ Plan to 100% capacity
✗ Ignore holidays/PTO
✗ Assume new hires are full speed
✗ No buffer for surprises
✗ Pressure to overcommit
✗ Ignore velocity data
✗ Same capacity every sprint
✗ Not adjusting for reality